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Good Thinking : The Foundations of Probability and its Applications / I. J. Good.

By: Material type: TextTextPublisher: Minneapolis MN : University of Minnesota Press, 1983Copyright date: ©1983Description: xviii, 332 pages : illustrations ; 24 cmContent type:
  • text
Media type:
  • unmediated
Carrier type:
  • volume
ISBN:
  • 0816611416
  • 0816611424
Subject(s): DDC classification:
  • 23 519.2 G.I.G.
Contents:
Rational decisions -- Twenty-seven principles of rationality -- 46656 varieties of bayesians -- The bayesian influence, or how to sweep subjectivism under the carpet -- Wich comes first, probability or statistics -- Kinds of probability -- Subjective probability as the measure of a non-measurable set -- Random thoughts about randomness -- Some history of the hierarchical bayasian methodology -- Dynamic probability, computer chess, and the measurement of knowledge -- The white shoe is a red herring -- The white shoe qua herring is pink -- A subjective evaluation of Bode's law and an "objective" test for approximate numerical rationality -- Some logic and history of hypnothesis testing -- Explicativity, corroboration, and the relative odds of hypotheses -- The appropriate mathematical tools, for describing and measuring uncertainty -- On the principle of total evidence -- A little learning can ben dangerous -- The probabilistic explication of information, evidence surprise, causality, explanation, and utility -- Is the size of our galaxy surprising? -- A causal calculus -- A simplification in the "causal calculus" -- Explicativity : a mathematical theory of explanation with statistical applications.
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Holdings
Item type Current library Call number Status Date due Barcode Item holds
Books Books Media and mass communication Library F4 519.2 G.I.G. Available E0000348
Total holds: 0

Includes bibliographical references and index.

Rational decisions --
Twenty-seven principles of rationality --
46656 varieties of bayesians --
The bayesian influence, or how to sweep subjectivism under the carpet -- Wich comes first, probability or statistics --
Kinds of probability --
Subjective probability as the measure of a non-measurable set --
Random thoughts about randomness -- Some history of the hierarchical bayasian methodology --
Dynamic probability, computer chess, and the measurement of knowledge --
The white shoe is a red herring --
The white shoe qua herring is pink -- A subjective evaluation of Bode's law and an "objective" test for approximate numerical rationality --
Some logic and history of hypnothesis testing --
Explicativity, corroboration, and the relative odds of hypotheses --
The appropriate mathematical tools, for describing and measuring uncertainty -- On the principle of total evidence --
A little learning can ben dangerous --
The probabilistic explication of information, evidence surprise, causality, explanation, and utility --
Is the size of our galaxy surprising? -- A causal calculus --
A simplification in the "causal calculus" --
Explicativity : a mathematical theory of explanation with statistical applications.

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